Catalonia: what direct rule from Madrid could mean

Scarf with Estelada

A man displays a scarf featuring an Estelada (Catalan separatist flag) design, as he reacts at Sant Jaume Square after the Catalan regional parliament declares independence from Spain in Barcelona, Spain October 27, 2017. Yves Herman | Reuters

Puigdemont and Mariano Rajoy: the two leaders, diametrically opposed to each other, symbolise the stand-off in Catalonia.

However, the constitutional crisis has now escalated to a situation where the consequences are immediate and fraught with danger.

Friday’s events have put the two sides on a collision course. The Catalan regional parliament voted to declare independence from Spain. Shortly afterwards, the Spanish Senate approved measures allowing Madrid to impose direct rule over Catalonia.

Article 155 of the Spanish constitution has been described as the government’s “nuclear option”. It gives Madrid the power in a crisis to take “all measures necessary to compel” a region to meet its obligations.

The first measures could involve sacking the Catalan government. Madrid would also be able to take control of the region’s police, finances and public media.

Spain’s prime minister wants the power to call regional elections in Catalonia within six months. Mariano Rajoy has also called for all senior functions currently exercised in Barcelona to be taken over by Madrid.

But how it all plays out in practice is uncertain – especially as any concrete move from Madrid would likely face significant opposition. Separatists have warned of possible widespread civil disobedience.

The future of Catalonia’s regional police force, the Mossos d’Esquadra, could come under the direct national control. Its chief, Major Josep Lluis Trapero, faces removal. He has already been charged with sedition by Spanish prosecutors for failing to prevent this month’s referendum and is awaiting trial.

Catalan media could become an immediate battleground if they come under Madrid’s governance. The main regional TV channel has already been accused of being biased -both in favour of, and against independence.

Catalonia’s Vice-President Oriol Junqueras, who had said the use of Article 155 meant independence was the only remaining option, tweeted after the regional parliament’s vote that Catalans had “won the freedom to build a new country”.

The obstacles are formidable: Catalonia has zero international recognition and faces total opposition from Spain’s central government. The European Union has made clear its support for Madrid. Observers have questioned how a viable independent state could operate in such circumstances, outside the EU.

Friday’s directly opposing moves from the national and regional institutions were decisive – but create still heightened uncertainty over what will happen on the ground in Catalonia. Its society remains severely divided.


 > Posted with permission from  EURONEWS

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